Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 8.795557 10.036357 11.395689 12.996401 14.831185 16.870187 19.310341
2025-12-28 7.307891 8.980001 10.955497 13.465595 16.576261 20.312717 25.153920
2026-01-04 6.391972 8.277367 10.627372 13.779709 17.910788 23.158362 30.359407
2026-01-11 5.792504 7.832176 10.489306 14.217369 19.335151 26.146410 35.953723
2026-01-18 5.063776 7.103997 9.864118 13.888764 19.638785 27.605485 39.563995
2026-01-25 4.509603 6.538258 9.376942 13.661579 20.006721 29.122254 43.329709
2026-02-01 4.054147 6.056448 8.945643 13.446114 20.333222 30.561322 47.063574
2026-02-08 3.667234 5.631515 8.547254 13.223276 20.599824 31.897515 50.721318
2026-02-15 3.335174 5.254635 8.179994 13.000735 20.824838 33.158959 54.340104
2026-02-22 3.219102 5.200114 8.297963 13.540444 22.289198 36.477151 61.576778
2026-03-01 3.044166 5.033405 8.219675 13.747414 23.215793 38.984132 67.669919
2026-03-08 2.835161 4.791229 7.995662 13.686157 23.675283 40.732575 72.592900
2026-03-15 2.628857 4.539229 7.739089 13.554121 24.012818 42.321045 77.426828
2026-03-22 2.546863 4.493560 7.827741 14.029068 25.458633 45.973784 86.367963
2026-03-29 2.447261 4.407394 7.836607 14.357430 26.659992 49.277793 94.958741
2026-04-05 2.374780 4.363097 7.914206 14.814098 28.132187 53.197563 105.098443
2026-04-12 2.193760 4.104322 7.581274 14.471202 28.049752 54.158446 109.466330
2026-04-19 2.043603 3.891437 7.316262 14.234144 28.147455 55.465346 114.640501
2026-04-26 1.908132 3.695997 7.068816 14.009321 28.245952 56.772733 119.923498
2026-05-03 1.783167 3.511406 6.828029 13.776811 28.305603 57.998509 125.135097
2026-05-10 1.668488 3.338531 6.597113 13.544615 28.343293 59.174832 130.337559
2026-05-17 1.649310 3.356330 6.745980 14.107747 30.100663 64.106583 144.333595
2026-05-24 1.594063 3.295827 6.731288 14.323709 31.127145 67.551674 155.284553